Venezuela vs Mexico Predictions and Match Preview

Venezuela vs Mexico Prediction

Following their respective wins in their opening group fixtures at the 2024 Copa America, Mexico are predicted to secure a slim margin win over Venezuela at SoFi Stadium as match day two action continues in Group B. La Vinotinto came from a goal down to defeat Ecuador 2-1, while El Tri secured a narrow 1-0 win over Jamaica.

• Venezuela’s win over Ecuador was their first victory in all competitions since the FIFA World Cup in Qatar.
• Venezuela have only won twice in their last 8 matches across all competitions, drawing 4 and suffering 2 defeats.
• Venezuela have only won once against Mexico in their last 11 head-to-head meetings in all competitions.
• Mexico defeated Venezuela 7 times in their last 11 head-to-head meetings.
• Mexico are unbeaten against Mexico in the Copa America, winning twice and drawing once.
• The two sides settled for a draw in their last meeting in the Copa America.

Venezuela showed grit and determination to bounce back from an early goal deficit on match day one, to score two second-half goals in 10 minutes and seal their first comeback victory at the Copa America.

The win over Ecuador ended a five-match winless run for Fernando Batista‘s boys across all competitions. It was their first opening match win at this tournament since 2016 (1-0 victory over Jamaica).

They will look to build on their good start in the competition, having squeezed out a 1-1 draw in their last meeting with Mexico at the 2016 Copa América.

Mexico comes into this fixture on the back of their 1-0 win, albeit in unconvincing fashion, with Gerardo Arteaga the only scorer on the night, a second-half strike, as el Tri, defeated Jamaica at the NRG Stadium in Houston.

Given that Mexico will be co-hosting the 2026 FIFA World Cup in two years, Jaime Lozano and his lads are under severe pressure to perform at this Copa America, given that the Mexicans have been underwhelming in recent times.

This is Mexico’s 11th appearance in the Copa América, only dumped out in the group stages on two occasions, seeking to start a Copa campaign with consecutive wins for only the third time, previously doing so in 2007 and 2016.

Venezuela Team News

Jhonder Cádiz of Famalicao and Mazatlan midfielder Eduard Bello, who both helped Venezuela erase a 1-0 deficit on match day one, will play a pivotal role in this fixture.  Jhonder Cádiz opened his international account in the last match after a strong season with his Portuguese club in which he scored 16 goals, opening the scoring for his team ten times, just as he did against Ecuador. 

It is expected that Venezuela will start the same starting eleven from their opening fixture. With only Machis expected to make way for Savarino in the starting eleven.

Venezuela Predicted Line-up (4-3-3 Formation)

Romo; Gonzalez, Ferraresi, Osorio, Navarro; Martinez, Herrera, Casseres; Savarino, Soteldo, Rondon.

Mexico team news

We expect that the manager starts with the same 4-2-3-1 setup that earned the side the win over Jamaica. However, we expect that the manager will make some changes, with Romo replacing the injured Captain Alvarez in the holding role and Vega taking the place of Antuna in the attacking midfield role.

Mexico Predicted Line-up (4-2-3-1 Formation)

Gonzalez; Sanchez, Montes, Vasquez, Arteaga; Romo, Chavez; Vega, Pineda, Quinones; Gimenez.

Santiago Giménez to play a prominent role in this fixture

Mexico have always had the upper hand over Venezuela and will be looking to extend that impressive run when the two sides go head-to-head in this fixture. Captain Edson Álvarez was carried off with what appeared to be a serious hamstring injury, which Coach Lozano described as “a tough blow”.

Jhonder Cádiz opened his international account in the last match after a strong season with Famalicão, he is expected to have an equally good run for his National team. Mexican striker Santiago Giménez was the hero at this venue (SoFi Stadium, California) 11 months ago as he scored the only goal of their 2023 Gold Cup final against Panama. The two players are one to watch in this fixture.

Mexico remains most likely to top the group, and with an unbeaten three wins from three matches, as match favourites in 2024, they have had no trouble shouldering the weight of expectations so far. 

Venezuela to torment the Mexicans

Looking at recent head-to-head meetings, under 2.5 goals emerged in their last Copa America meeting. We expect Mexico to seal a 1-0 win, considering how both teams have kept it tight at the back in their most recent games, respectively.

The predictions and tips are based on research and available statistics and do not guarantee profits.

Liam Foster- June 25, 2024

Venezuela vs Mexico Betting Tips

Correct Score: Mexico 1-0

OK

7.40 Odds

Mexico to win

OK

2.30 Odds

Under 2.5 goals

OK

1.57 Odds