Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips

Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina Match Preview

Jagiellonia welcome Fiorentina in a tie that pits a strong home record against a side that have already shown they can dominate on the road in this competition. The Polish hosts tend to keep games tight in Białystok, while La Viola have experienced both fluent wins and narrow setbacks in recent weeks.

The tempo of this match may hinge on who scores first. Jagiellonia are comfortable protecting leads, but Fiorentina carry greater individual quality in forward areas.

Jagiellonia Effective at Home but Rarely Comfortable

Jagiellonia drew 0-0 away at AZ Alkmaar in their latest Conference League outing, a disciplined performance that underlined their defensive focus. Before that, they were edged 1-2 at home by Rayo Vallecano, despite competing well for long spells.

At home, they have generally found solutions. Wins over KuPS 1-0, Hamrun 1-0 and Dinamo Tirana 3-0 show a side that controls territory and limits space between the lines. Even the 2-2 draw with Silkeborg demonstrated resilience when the match became stretched.

Four of their last five home games in this competition have produced three goals or fewer. Jagiellonia are organised and patient, but they do allow chances against opponents with sharper movement in the final third.

Fiorentina Showing Edge in Key Moments

Fiorentina were beaten 1-0 away at Lausanne in their most recent fixture, a result that followed a 2-1 home win over Dynamo Kyiv. That victory highlighted their ability to manage matches when leading, even if the margin remained narrow.

Earlier in the campaign, La Viola secured convincing 3-0 wins away at Rapid Wien and Polessya. Those performances were built on aggressive pressing and quick transitions. However, defeats to Mainz 2-1 and Real Betis 2-1 exposed moments of defensive vulnerability against organised opposition.

Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina Prediction

Fiorentina win at 2.05 odds appeals in this matchup. Although Jagiellonia are reliable at home, Fiorentina have already recorded two 3-0 away victories in this competition. Their ability to raise intensity in decisive spells could prove decisive against a side that prefers controlled rhythms.

Backing Moise Kean as an anytime goal scorer at 2.38 odds is also worth consideration. He has scored in each of his last two matches and has five goals across his last eight appearances. His recent scoring run, combined with Fiorentina’s willingness to deliver early crosses and quick through balls, increases the likelihood of another key contribution.

Fiorentina 2-1 at 9.00 odds reflects the likely balance. Jagiellonia’s home structure suggests they can score, yet Fiorentina’s greater cutting edge in advanced areas may tilt a competitive contest in their favour.

Ezekiel- February 16, 2026

Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina Betting Tips

Fiorentina win

OK

2.05 Odds

Moise Kean - Anytime Goal Scorer

OK

2.38 Odds

Fiorentina 2-1

OK

9.00 Odds