Ukraine vs Spain
UEFA Nations League
Date: Tuesday, 13 October 2020
Kick-off at 19:45 UK/ 20:45 CET
Venue: NSC Olimpiyskiy Stadium (Kiev).
Ukraine and Spain lock horns in a must win fixture at Kiev to put them in a challenging position to win UEFA Nations League A Group 4.
Since starting the group campaign with a 2-1 win over Switzerland, Ukraine lost back to back games to Spain (0-4 away) and Germany (1-2 home). In between they were totally hammered at France in a friendly few days ago that saw them concede 7 goals.
There is still hope for Andriy Shevchenko and his team as the defeat to Germany is the first at home in exactly three years. They bagged 9 wins and 2 draws from those of 12 games. The best during that period is a 2-1 win against Portugal.
But can they repeat that against a team like Spain, consistent and solid in all departments. The team managed by Luis Enrique is unbeaten in 15 matches since an ill-fated UNL campaign in 2018. They drew 4 during the period, all away from home.
This means Ukraine have a chance if they do their homework well. But, bookies are valuating Spain to win at Kiev on 1.40 odd and a draw at 5.00. So, the hosts are huge underdogs at 7.50 odd.
As mention this is a must win game for both teams and this are the reasons. Spain with 7 points from 3 games are only 2 points above Germany who will meet Switzerland at the same kick-off time. The 3 points at Kiev will put Spain in commanding position to win the group way ahead of the two giant’s meetings in November.
Ukraine have three points on their bag, but a defeat here will end their chances of qualifying for the play-offs.
Ukraine vs Spain Head-to-head
The 4-0 win last month means that Spain are unbeaten against Ukraine in official meetings with 5 wins and 1 draw.
The stalemate happened in their first ever meeting back in 2003 in a Euro qualifier that ended 2-2. The La Roja won the return leg 2-1 and since bagged 4 more wins without conceding a single goal.
The overall goal aggregate tips in favour of the team in red on 14 to 4.
Ukraine vs Spain Prediction
Expect no favours from Spain as they will be highly motivated for anything less than a win on Tuesday. Ukraine despite their success in home soil against most of the teams have the tendency of flattering against elite European teams.
Besides, Spain is a team with excellent game management skills and once there will be no looking back if they take an early lead. The team have an average 62% possession from three UNL games played so far and only Germany managed to break their defensive wall.
Therefore, a the win for Spain looks good for this fixture. But this will be a low scoring affair since the visitors rarely score over 2.5 goals against teams ranked similarly or higher than Ukraine, especially when the game is played on the road.
Ukraine vs Spain Betting Tips
Under 3.5 goals @ 1.67 odd
Spain to win @ 1.42 odd.