Steffen Schmidt - August 6, 2023
PSV Eindhoven vs Sturm Graz
UEFA Champions League Qualifications
Date: 8 August 2023, Tuesday
Kick-off at 19:30 UK / 20:30 CET
Venue: Philips Stadion (Eindhoven).
PSV Eindhoven host Sturm Graz in one of the most interesting matchups of the UEFA Champions League third qualifying round.
The Dutch Eredivisie runners-up head into the tie in high spirits after a 0-1 win over last year’s champions Feyenoord in the domestic Super Cup on Friday in Rotterdam.
Head coach Peter Bosz can be thrilled with the defensive display his men have shown on the occasion, limiting Feyenoord to just three shots on target in the 90 minutes of play at De Kuip.
PSV thus have four wins on the spin if we count three successive victories in preseason exhibitions.
They have also kept things quiet at the back in the final summer test, beating English Premier League outfit Nottingham Forest 1-0 on the home patch.
Nevertheless, this is anything but an easy third round raw for PSV because Sturm Graz have been on a massive rise in the last several years.
The Austrian runners-up played the Europa League group phase last year and they got off to a flying start to the new Bundesliga campaign, beating Austria Vienna 0-3 on the road ten days ago.
The team led by Christian Ilzer showed impressive form in preseason as well, beating fellow Champions League contestants Aris Limassol and Galatasaray in consecutive affairs.
They will certainly have something to say on Tuesday in the Netherlands despite showing poor away form last year in Europe, conceding as many as ten goals in three away outings in Europa League’s Group F.
PSV have won the last two outings with an identical 1-0 scoreline. They are very difficult to break down under Peter Bosz at the start of the season and we can by no means see the value in backing the Over pick at the low 1.57 odds here.
The main bet will be Home win to nil at the odds of 2.37. Alternatively, we like the Under 2.5 goals FT pick at the 2.35 odds.
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