Swansea vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips

Swansea vs Derby Match Preview

Swansea return home under real pressure after a poor run marked by heavy defeats and defensive issues. Derby arrive with far more momentum, winning key away games and showing a compact, organised structure.

Both sides share identical defensive records overall, yet Derby look sharper in both penalty areas. This matchup leans towards the visitors controlling key phases.

Swansea’s Form Sliding at the Wrong Time

Swansea have won only four of sixteen league matches and their recent form reflects mounting problems. They lost 3-0 at Bristol City and 4-1 at home to Ipswich, with those results exposing their defensive vulnerability.

Even their steadier moments, like the 1-1 draw at Charlton and the 2-1 home win over Norwich, sit against a backdrop of inconsistency.

Their home record shows two wins, three draws and three defeats, with nine goals scored and thirteen conceded. Swansea struggle to impose control and often concede in decisive moments. The Swans’ form line offers little indication that stability is returning soon.

Derby Showing Strength and Balance Away from Home

Derby come in stronger, with six wins and five draws from sixteen matches. Their recent run includes a 3-2 loss to Watford, but the broader pattern is positive: a 2-1 win at Blackburn, a 2-1 home victory over Hull City and a 1-0 success against QPR.

Away from home they have three wins, two draws and two defeats, scoring ten and conceding nine.

Derby consistently create chances on the road and stay in matches even when under pressure. Their defensive structure is firmer than Swansea’s and they manage transitions more effectively. This gives them a clear platform heading into this fixture.

Swansea vs Derby Prediction

The best bet is Derby to win to Draw No Bet at 2.50 odds. Derby’s away results show they handle tight contests well, while Swansea’s recent defeats highlight a lack of defensive resilience. With Swansea conceding heavily and Derby posting strong away wins, the visitors carry more reliability.

A suitable correct score prediction is Derby 2-0 at 17.00 odds. Derby have already shown they can shut out opponents away from home, and Swansea’s attack has stalled in recent weeks. The form patterns support a controlled Derby display and a clean-sheet win.

Marco Marin- November 23, 2025

Swansea vs Derby Betting Tips

Derby to win - Draw no Bet

OK

2.50 Odds

Derby 2-0

OK

17.00 Odds