Newcastle vs Sunderland Prediction & Betting Tips

Newcastle vs Sunderland Match Preview

The Tyne Wear derby returns with both clubs entering the match under different pressure points in the Premier League table. Newcastle arrive with momentum after a disciplined win at Chelsea, while Sunderland approach the fixture after a narrow home defeat to Brighton.

Recent results suggest Newcastle carry more attacking threat across the season, but derby matches rarely follow simple form lines. The tactical battle may revolve around Newcastle’s ability to control territory against a Sunderland side that has struggled to score consistently.

Newcastle Showing Greater Attacking Output Despite Mixed Results

Newcastle come into the derby after a valuable 0-1 win away at Chelsea, a result that underlined their ability to manage difficult away fixtures. Before that they held Barcelona to a 1-1 draw in the Champions League, showing competitive balance against elite opposition.

However, their recent domestic run has been mixed. The Magpies lost 1-3 at home to Manchester City and were beaten 2-3 by Everton, both matches highlighting defensive vulnerability when games open up.

At the same time, Newcastle have produced strong attacking moments. A 2-1 victory over Manchester United demonstrated their ability to create chances against high level opponents. Over the season they have scored 43 goals in 30 league matches, a significantly stronger output than their derby rivals.

That attacking volume could prove decisive if Newcastle impose pressure early at St James Park.

Sunderland Struggle for Goals as Recent Defeats Mount

Sunderland arrive after a 0-1 home defeat against Brighton, continuing a pattern of tight matches where their attack has struggled to convert opportunities. The Black Cats have scored only 30 league goals in 30 matches this season, one of the lower totals in the division.

Their recent form also reflects that issue. They were beaten 1-0 by Port Vale in the FA Cup and lost 1-3 at home to Fulham. While they managed a narrow 0-1 win away at Leeds and a 1-1 draw at Bournemouth, those results still came from low scoring matches.

Defensively Sunderland have remained relatively organised, conceding 35 goals across the league campaign. Yet the lack of attacking consistency leaves them vulnerable when chasing games.

The most recent league meeting between these sides ended 1-0 to Sunderland in December 2025. That result may add psychological confidence, though overall attacking numbers still favour Newcastle.

Newcastle vs Sunderland Prediction

The best bet for this match is Newcastle to win to nil at 2.62 odds. Newcastle have the stronger scoring record across the season while Sunderland continue to struggle in front of goal. Recent results also show Sunderland failing to score in three of their last five matches across competitions.

There is also interest in the individual market. Anthony Gordon to score anytime is priced at 3.10 odds. Newcastle’s attack has produced goals against several top opponents recently, and Gordon remains one of their most direct attacking outlets when Newcastle push forward.

Our recommended correct score tip is Newcastle 2-0 priced at 8.00 odds. The projection reflects Newcastle’s stronger attacking production combined with Sunderland’s recent scoring difficulties, which suggests the hosts could control the game while limiting clear chances at the other end.

Steffen Schmidt- March 21, 2026

Newcastle vs Sunderland Betting Tips

Newcastle to win to nil

OK

2.62 Odds

Anthony Gordon to score anytime

OK

3.10 Odds

Correct Score: Newcastle 2-0

OK

8.00 Odds