Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Betting Tips

Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Match Preview

Fiorentina return to Florence needing a near perfect performance after a heavy defeat in England. Crystal Palace arrive with a 3 goal advantage, placing them firmly in control of the tie but still requiring composure to finish the job.

The second leg is shaped by urgency versus control. Fiorentina must attack from the first minute, while Palace can afford to stay compact and wait for spaces to appear.

Fiorentina’s Home Strength Tested by First Leg Collapse

La Viola come into this match following a 3-0 defeat at Crystal Palace, a result that disrupted an otherwise steady run of performances. That loss exposed defensive gaps, particularly in transition, while also highlighting issues in chance conversion under pressure.

Recent domestic results offer a more balanced view. A 1-0 win away at Verona and a 1-1 draw with Inter Milan show a side capable of control and structure. Earlier, a 4-1 win at Cremonese and a 2-1 victory at Rakow underline their attacking potential when games open up.

At home, Fiorentina’s European record remains strong. They have lost only two of their last 20 matches in this setting, which suggests they will play with confidence despite the aggregate deficit. However, the broader pattern is important, as they have historically struggled to overturn three goal deficits in European ties.

Palace’s Structure and Efficiency Shape Their Advantage

Crystal Palace arrive after a 2-1 win over Newcastle, maintaining positive momentum following their dominant first leg performance. That 3-0 win against Fiorentina was built on efficiency in key moments rather than sustained pressure.

Across recent matches, Palace have shown a clear trend towards controlled games. Clean sheets against AEK Larnaca and Leeds highlight defensive discipline, while narrow wins such as the 2-1 result against Newcastle show they can manage tight contests effectively.

In European competition, Palace have been consistent both defensively and in transitions. Their away record also adds confidence, with only one defeat in six matches. With a significant lead, their focus is likely to be on maintaining shape and limiting Fiorentina’s attacking rhythm.

Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Prediction

The best bet for this match is Over 2.5 goals at 2.04 odds. Fiorentina are forced into an aggressive approach due to the three-goal deficit, and their recent matches show they can contribute goals when the tempo increases. Palace’s ability to score on the break further supports a higher scoring outcome.

We also find value in backing Fiorentina to win at 2.60 odds. The Italian side’s strong home record in Europe suggests they can control phases of the match, especially with the crowd influence and urgency driving their performance.

The Correct Score Prediction is Fiorentina 2-1 priced at 10.00 odds. This reflects a likely scenario where Fiorentina push forward and create chances, but Palace remain dangerous enough to find a goal and protect their aggregate advantage.

Arun- April 13, 2026

Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Betting Tips

Over 2.5 goals

OK

2.04 Odds

Fiorentina to win

OK

2.60 Odds

Fiorentina 2-1

OK

10.00 Odds