Jeonbuk Motors vs Suwon Bluewings
South Korea – K League 1
Date: 8 May 2020, Friday
Kick-off at 11:00 UK/ 12:00 CET
Venue: Jeonju World Cup Stadium (Jeonju).
As South Korea slowly return to normal life, the nation’s top football league kick-off under closed doors with defending champions Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors playing host to Suwon Bluewings.
Jeonbuk completed a hat-trick of league titles last season and 7th overall since they first won the championship in 2009.
Meantime, Suwon, who won 4 titles between 1998 and 2008 had to satisfy with an 8th placed finish. Yet, they qualified for the AFC Champions League by lifting the FA Cup with a convincing win over Daejeon Korail.
Jeonbuk Motors vs Suwon Bluewings Match Preview
Both teams had the taste of competitive football this season, which came in early March before the Covid-19 pandemic put things to a halt. Neither sides managed to register a win in the competition despite some favorable fixtures.
The Green Warriors lost 1-2 to Japanese outfit Yokohama Marinos before throwing the kitchen sink at Sydney FC to earn a 2-2 draw.
While Bluewings suffered back-to-back defeats with their opponents being Vissel Kobe and Malaysian outfit Johor DT.
Therefore, both teams would like to kick off the new season on a positive note after disappointing run in continental competition.
The bookies are favoring the hosts to win here at 1.80, while draw is priced at 3.50 and away win at 4.33.
Can the visitors upset the odds and bag at least a draw at a ground where they lost 70% of the games since 2014 ?
Jeonbuk vs Suwon Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between these two sides across all venues saw Jeonbuk bagging 3 wins and 2 draws leaving Suwon looking for their first win in this tie since 2017.
The corresponding fixture of last season saw a 2-0 home win for the team in green.
Jeonbuk are unbeaten in last 13 K-League h2h games at this ground; won 9, drew 3 and lost 1.
Only 3 of their last 10 meetings at this ground saw over 2.5 goals, yet all those saw over 1.5 goals. Meantime, both teams scored in half of those games.
Jeonbuk vs Suwon Prediction
The statistics heavily favor the home side, not only on the back of a strong head-to-head record in this tie, but also because of their ability to make quick starts to a league campaign.
Jeonbuk come here with an excellent record on opening match weeks with a win-draw-loss record of 7-1-0 on matchday 1 since 2012. On the contrary, Suwon have not won an opening league match since 2014, the W-D-L record is a poor 0-1-4.
This is good enough for us to back a home win, considering the potential returns of 1.80 odd. Top this up with the fact that Jeonbuk is a team that lost just 3 of their 38 matches last season.
The over 2.5 goal market is a risky option for this K-League fixture as less than half of Jeonbuk’s home games as well as Suwon’s away games in 2019 season saw under 2.5 goals.
Therefore, I will keep the standalone over 1.5 goals full-time bet priced at 1.30 as a potential odd booster to any accumulator tip on the given day. Out of their 20 home matches last season, 18 saw at least 2 goals scored by either teams.
It is also a good idea to combine the home win with over 1.5 match goals for a price boost.
To sum up, go with home win as primary option and over 1.5 goal match total as the safe bet. Combine the two using a bet builder if you are feeling adventurous.
Jeonbuk vs Suwon Betting Tips
Safe option: Over 1.5 goals full-time @ 1.30 odd
Value Bet: Jeonbuk to win @ 1.80 odd
For Brave Punters: Jeonbuk to win and Over 1.5 goals @ 2.25 odd.
Full-Time Correct Score: 2-0 for the hosts @ 8.00 odd.