Chaves vs FC Porto
Portugal – Primeira Liga
Date: Friday, 18th January 2019
Kick-Off at 19:00 UK/ 20:00 CET
Venue: Estadio Municipal de Chaves (Chaves).
It’s the battle between two extremes of the table as the relegation placed Chaves will face the table-toppers FC Porto on Friday in the Primeira Liga.
The home team is desperate for wins in this year’s campaign. They have lost 11 of their 17 games so far in the league. Tiago Fernandes’ side has given away 24 goals in this period while scoring a mere 12 goals in return.
A huge improvement in these stats will only help them prevent relegation to the LigaPro when this season is completed.
The Flavienses, have found form recently as they are unbeaten in the last 4 matches played in both the cup and league. They are fresh from a home win against Tondela in the last round. Less than 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of their recent 5 matches across all venues.
At home also they enjoy an unbeaten run which is going on for 3 games. More than 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of their last 5 games in front of the home crowd. But Porto is a class apart when compared to the teams they faced until now.
The reigning champions may have another easy day at the office with Chaves on the receiving end. They have just lost 2 matches but won 14 of their 17 matches in total. With only 10 goals conceded they have the most consistent defense in the league.
Dragons are unbeaten since October 2018 after a narrow 1-0 loss to Benfica away from home. After that, they enjoyed an emphatic 18 game win streak in all competitions including the UEFA Champions League. But Sporting CP managed to share the spoils with them in the last away match.
Chaves vs FC Porto: Head-to-head (h2h)
Chaves are yet to win against this opposition in all previous competitive matches.
Porto has won 5 of the last 6 h2h matches played across all venues.
In 4 of those previous 6 games, the full-time score had more than 2.5 goals in total.
Porto has scored 2 or more goals in 5 of those matches as well.
They are also on a 2 match win streak at this venue against the hosts scoring 2 or more goals in both of them.
Chaves vs FC Porto: Prediction
The reigning champions have been disciplined in defense all season. With just 10 goals concede till now their back line will have an easy job against the low scoring Chaves.
Since Chaves has scored just 12 goals until now we can bet on Porto to keep a clean sheet as they did in their last 2 away games, with 1.66 odds.
Dragons have scored 2 or more goals in 3 of their last 5 matches on the road. The same trend is visible in 4 of the previous 5 h2h matches against the hosts at this venue. The toppers have scored 34 goals past better defenses in the UCL.
So I think we may see them do that again on Friday. Thus a bet can be placed on the visitors to score 2 or more goals with 2.63 odds.
Chaves vs FC Porto: Betting Tips
FC Porto: Over 2.5 team goals @ 2.63 (13/8).
Porto to keep a clean sheet @ 1.66 (4/6).