Brazil vs Mexico Match Preview and Prediction

Brazil vs Mexico 2018 World Cup by LeagueLane

Brazil vs Mexico
2018 World Cup Round of 16
Date: Monday, 2 July 2018
Kick-Off at 15:00 UK / 16:00 CET
Venue: Samara Arena, Samara.

  • Brazil finally produced a decent display in the third round as the victory over Serbia saw them top the Group E with seven points.
  • They are now to take on a well-known opposition, facing Mexico for the 29th time in history.
  • The two sides shared spoils in a goalless draw when they took on each other at the World Cup 2014.
  • Can we see the same scoreline when they meet on Monday in Samara?

Mexico ruined the all the god job they had done in the opening two ties inexplicably falling in a decisive clash with Sweden by three goal margin. Luckily for Juan Carlos Osorio and his men, the reigning champions Germany could not go past Korea Republic in the other game of the group, meaning El Tri came second at the end.

Nevertheless, the Mexicans now have a much tougher opponent to handle in the battle for the quarterfinal of the competition as they travel to Samara to take on the five-time champions Brazil on Monday afternoon.

Brazil vs Mexico Match Preview

Selecao kind of disappointed in underwhelming displays against Switzerland and Costa Rica in the opening two ties, but they moved through the gears to ease past European hopefuls Serbia on the final day of the group phase. It was a decent showing overall for Tite’s men who created well up front whenever they showed the intention to go for goal as they closed the game relatively comfortably 2-0 in spite of a 15-minute period of Serbian dominance at the start of the second half.

Philippe Coutinho is definitely the no 1 Brazilian at the tournament. Barcelona’s winger notched the only goal in a 1-1 draw with Switzerland. H was also the one who broke the deadlock in the stoppage time of the second round tie against Costa Rica as well.

His through ball which found his Blaugrana teammate Paulinho was just magnificent, only enlarging Coutinho’s impact Brazil’s success in the recent period. The former Liverpool man took part in six goals in his last seven appearances for Selecao and he will no doubts be the one to watch out here against Mexico as well.

El Tri were just on the brink of an early group phase exit when they were three-goal down to Sweden, knowing that only a single goal for Germany against Korea Republic knock them out of the competition. They were thus entirely dependent on Koreans who have produced one of the biggest upsets in the history of World Cups, sending the champions home and ending their amazing run of 16 subsequent knockout stage appearances (ever since 1954).

Brazil vs Mexico Team News and Predicted Line-ups

Brazil Team News

  • Tite made no changes to the side that barely broke the deadlock against Costa Rica in the second round.
  • He was forced to bring Fernandinho on for Paulinho early in the second half when Serbians had their 15-minute dominance.
  • He has huge issues with full-backs as Marcelo was forced to leave the pitch only ten minutes into the game with Serbia.
  • Real Madrid left-back will likely be set to feature on Monday, though, as it was only a temporary pain in his back caused by the dodgy mattress.
  • Danilo will, however, likely skip this clash due to injury, meaning Fagner will once again start at the right-back.
  • Douglas Costa is still injured.

Brazil Predicted Starting Eleven (4-3-3)

Alisson – Fagner, Silva, Miranda, Marcelo – Paulinho, Casemiro, Coutinho – Willian, Jesus, Neymar.

Brazil Predicted Starting Line-up vs Mexico World Cup 2018, 2 July

Mexico Team News

  • Juan Carlos Osorio does not have problems with sidelined players and we can expect the same side that started matches against Korea Republic and Germany.
  • Attacking trio Lozano, Vela and Chicharito started all three group stage matches for El Tri.

Mexico Predicted Starting Eleven (4-2-3-1)

Ochoa – Gallardo, Salcedo, Moreno, Alvarez – Herrera, Guardado – Layun, Vela, Lozano – Chicharito.

Mexico Predicted Starting Line-up vs Brazil World Cup 2018, 2 July

Brazil vs Mexico Head-to-head

Brazil and Mexico are set to cross each other’s paths for the 29th time on Monday in Samara. They played each other in the previous edition of the World Cup as well when their group stage game saw a goalless draw.

The two teams have met each other just once since then as Brazil came on top 2-0 (a friendly) with goals from Philippe Coutinho and Diego Tardelli. Overall, Selecao won 16, drew 4 and lost 8 of 28 head to head meetings with Mexico.

El Tri did not score a single goal in last three outings against Brazil, while none of past four H2H ties saw goals at both ends or three or more goals scored.

Brazil vs Mexico Predictions

Mexico passed the group for the eighth consecutive time in a row at World Cups and this will by no means be a one-way street for the Brazilians, as big of favourites they are ahead of the fixture in Samara. El Tri shipped three odd goals to Sweden in a match which saw them fail to convert (primarily Carlos Vela) on numerous occasions.

The power of Mexican counter-attacks could have best been noticed in the opener against Germany. Brazil will have to be careful in their build-up play and we can clearly expect a rather more careful approach from Tite’s troops on the day.

Both sides have generally been very tough to break down lately and given the stakes are sky-high and that none of last four H2H encounters saw three or more goals, we have to go for the Under 2.5 goals FT bet at 1.80.

Since Brazil conceded just six goals in last 24 matches, including one in three World Cup affairs, we will alternatively back them to keep a clean sheet at 1.90.

Brazil vs Mexico Predictions from Statistical Analysis LeagueLane 2018 World Cup
Brazil vs Mexico Predictions from Statistical Analysis, ©LeagueLane®
  • Predicted Full-Time Result is a goalless draw.

Brazil vs Mexico Betting Tips

  • Under 2.5 goals FT @ 1.80.
  • Brazil to keep a clean sheet @ 1.90.
  • Correct FT Score: 0-0 Draw @ 9.50.
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