Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Poland
UEFA Nations League
Date: Monday, 7 September 2020
Kick-off at 19:45 UK/ 20:45 CET
Venue: Bilino Polje (Zenica).
Poland is without Robert Lewandowski and they will be keen to bag a respectful result following the 0-1 defeat to Netherlands in the group opener.
Truth to be told, the Poles looked like a shadow of themselves with the Bayern striker and were subjected to heavy bombardment from the Dutch. They had a quarter of the ball possession and managed to shot just once on target. Their opponent had about 15 chances, the likes of Depay, Promes and Bergwijn all wasteful on the night.
The team in White and Red are generally solid in qualifying tournaments and they finished top of the 2020 Euro qualifiers with 8 wins and 1 draw from 10 games. However, they had a disastrous 2018 UNL campaign, drew 2 and lost 2.
Bosnia-Herzegovina bagged a surprise point away from home against Italy with a 1-1 draw. They had fair share of ball-possession and looked dangerous on the break. And in the end it is a fair result to be honest.
The Dragons lost 4 of their previous 5 away games after an unbeaten 2018 UNL campaign.
Head-to-head and Previous Meetings
Poland are unbeaten in the three meetings with Bosnia so far with a pair of 1-0 wins and a draw.
The teams are meeting for the first time in Bosnian soil and their last meeting was 9 years ago.
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Poland Prediction
This could be a cagey affair since Poland wants to put three points on the board after the defeat to the Netherlands, while Bosnia, even though not over ambitions wants to remind the world that they are a strong home at their own backyard.
The Dragons lost 2 of the 12 games at home, starting from 2016/17 World Cup qualification campaign through 2018 UNL to the 2019 Euro qualifiers.
Be sure, this is a tough venue to visit and Poland must be 110% sharp to take anything away from this game.
Poland have a solid record all around and they do have do have core players available barring the influential Lewandowski.
But what they need to bring is some flair into the build up play and create some chances. If this continues, there will be only one outcome at Zenica, a not so surprising defeat.
Adding to this, Edin Dzeko and Edin Visca looked sharp against Italy and they could turn a match on it’s head when least expected.
Therefore, an outright win for Poland is too risky to back and we can see this from 2.50+ odd offered by most bookies.
The double chance on hosts is an option considering the only teams that defeated Bosnia at home in the past 4 years is Italy (2019) and Belgium (2017).
Poland on the other hand tend to play too defensive in their travels, the same can be said about the hosts while coming against higher ranked teams.
This also bring us to the conclusion that the goals will be at a premium here and therefore under 2.5 goals is a decent alternate option.
Double Chance – Bosnia or draw at 1.44 odd
Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80 odd.