Viktoria Plzen vs Ludogorets Razgrad
2016/ 17 Champions League Play-Off.
Date: Tuesday, 23 August, 2016.
Kick-Off: 19:45 UK,
Venue: Doosan Arena (Plzen).
Viktoria Plzen has a mountain to climb in the return leg of the Champions League play-off as they trail by two goals against Ludogorets.
The goals from Cosmin Moti and Virgil Misidjan was the difference when the two sides met in Bulgaria for the first leg on August 17. The hosts Viktoria Plzen are on a terrible run at the moment. They reached the play-offs through away goal advantage over Azerbaijani football Qarabag after drawing in either legs. They also suffered a 2-0 defeat against Fastav Zlin in the Czech league fixture on Saturday. However, they got through to the group stages on the last two previous occasions they reached the play-offs. In 2011/12 they have beaten FC Copenhagen 5-2 on aggregate and in 2013/14 they earned a 4-1 aggregate win over Slovenian outfit NK Maribor.
Ludogorets Razgrad are aiming at their second Champions League group stage appearance in three years. The Bulgarian outfit defeated Mladost Podgorica from Montenegro and Red Star Belgrade in the previous rounds. In the 2013/14 play-offs they were defeated by Basel 6-2, while in 2014/15 they overcame Steaua Bucharest in a dramatic penalty-shootout.
Viktoria Plzen vs Ludogorets: Head-to-Head Statistics
Ludogorets defeated Plzen 2-1 in a friendly played in a neutral venue at Turkey in January. With the first leg victory last Wednesday, the Bulgarians can boast of a 100% win record over Plzen.
Either of these sides have not met a team from opposition nation in any of the UEFA tournaments.
Viktoria Plzen vs Ludogorets: Prediction
Ludogorets have a huge advantage going into this game with the 2-0 win in the first leg. Viktoria Plzen are not a bad side, but their recent form do not look bright. The Czech side have won just 2 competitive fixtures in their last 10. Also they haven’t won any of their last four Champions League matches.
This could be a cat and mouse game as Ludogorets will prioritize to guard their lead as Plzen must win this by a three goal margin to progress. So the hosts are likely to attack from the kick-off. This comes with the considerable risk of conceding from the counter attacks. So both teams to score at 1.90 looks good value for me. Also the odds of 2.10 for both teams to score looks quite attractive.
Viktoria might edge a win here, but will fall short on goal aggregate. The hosts can be backed for a win at the odds of 2.10. I will also go with the correct score prediction of 2-1 win for Plzen at the odds of 9.50.
Viktoria Plzen vs Ludogorets: Tips
Both Teams to Score at 1.90 (Recommended).
Over 2.5 goals at 2.10.