Toluca vs Necaxa Prediction & Match Preview

Toluca vs Necaxa
Mexico – Liga MX Clausura
Date: Sunday, 19 January 2020
Kick-off at 18:00 UK/ 19:00 CET
Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca).

Necaxa will have to effectively deal with the home advantage of Toluca, that the latter have used well in the past several match-days. However, the respective positions of the teams in the Apertura standings shift the scales in the direction of Necaxa, in spite of their away handicap.

Toluca vs Necaxa Head-to-head (h2h)

  • The last three games had goals from both teams.
  • 12 of the former 15 wins went to Toluca.
  • The last Necaxa won at this venue was back in 2011.
  • Nine of the previous ten wins at this stadium went to Toluca.

Toluca vs Necaxa Prediction

Toluca were on the road the last match-day, and despite having taken on the playoff semifinalists Monarcas, the former delivered a road with a 0-1 scoreline.

Necaxa, one of the other four semifinalists, who also had fallen against eventual champions Monterrey, will have their plates full this Sunday. They begin their campaign with this upcoming encounter.

In regards to the outcome of this game, take a note of the teams’ performances in the recently-concluded season. Toluca were placed 17th in a table of 19, and only the dead-last placed Veracruz had scored fewer goals than them.

On the other hand, Necaxa finished fifth in the table, just six points off the top-most spot, and made a deep run into the playoffs till the semi-finals. Even there, they were eliminated by the eventual champions Monterrey.

On top of that, consider that Toluca were winless in four of their previous five overall games, and in three of their preceding four home fixtures. 

Moreover, and importantly, Necaxa plays officially for the first time in the latter half of the season, and they are sufficiently rested and recharged. They will also be adamant about starting their campaign on a positive note, and this should scare Toluca.

Taking into account these factors, it’s adjudged that Necaxa should avoid a loss, and at least make it out with a single point this Sunday.

However, do give due respect for the home advantage of Toluca, and their win in the opening round over Moncarcas, that too on the road. In addition, consider the fact that Necaxa have kept a total of three clean sheets from their previous twenty-two games on the road, and have lost their last two official games.

Going on, over the years, Toluca have dominated this opponent to a great extent. In fact, Toluca recorded 12 of the previous 15 h2h wins, and nine of the former ten at this venue. Also, the last Toluca lost in front of their home crowd against this opponent was back in 2011.

Considering these observations, it’s expected that Toluca should find the back of the net at least once this match-day. 

Toluca vs Necaxa Betting Tips

  • Double Chance: Necaxa or Draw @ 1.60 (3/5)
  • Both Teams to Score @ 1.67 (2/3).