Sevilla vs Maribor NK
UEFA Champions League 2017/18 – Group Stage
Date: Tuesday, 26th September 2017
Kick-off at 19:45 UK/ 20:45 CET
Venue: Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan (Sevilla).
Sevilla started their Champions League campaign with a morale boosting 2-2 draw away at Liverpool. The result could play a key part for this team in ending their label as Champions League flop.
Meantime, Sevilla suffered their first competitive defeat of the season at Atletico Madrid on the weekend. The full-time scoreline which read 0-2 ended their 8 match unbeaten run which saw 5 wins and 3 draws.
The Rojiblancos can boast of a strong record at home in the Champions League. They lost just twice during the 8 matches, but those came against elite teams like Juventus and Manchester City. There are 5 wins and a draw from the remaining six.
Maribor marked their return to Champions League after a 2 year absence with the 1-1 home draw against Spartak Moscow. Finishing chances has to be blamed for the result as only 6 of the 27 shots were destined to test the goal-keeper.
The Purples are unbeaten in their last 8 matches in all competitions this season. Their last win came at this tournament, in the away visit to Hapoel Beer Sheva, which is also their lone defeat in 18 competitive matches since the start of the season.
Sevilla vs Maribor: Head-to-head
The teams had previously met during the round of 32 of 2013/14 Europa League. Sevilla won 2-1 at home before earning a 2-2 draw away at Maribor.
Sevilla haven’t met another Slovenian club in UEFA competitions.
Maribor had met Sevilla’s domestic rivals Atletico Madrid and Villarreal in 1992 and 2006. They lost both their away trips to Spain back then, making it 3 losses in as many games in Spanish soil.
Sevilla vs Maribor: Predictions
Sevilla to win is a certainty for this fixture and this is why the bookmakers have odds close to zero for the home win. However, we find profitability in backing Sevilla for a first half win, priced at 1.55 odds.
Yet, a home win with clean sheet is the best option for this match as it is priced at 1.80 odds.
Meantime, Sevilla’s goal-scoring record at home against lower ranked teams is commendable. And therefore, Over 2.5 match goals with both teams not scoring is the value bet, however this comes with an ample risk.
Correct Score Prediction: 2-0 Sevilla for 6.50 odds.
Sevilla vs Maribor: Bet Tips
Sevilla to win first half for 1.57 odds
Decent alternative is a Sevilla to win to nil for 1.80 odds
Wissam Ben Yeder is the top pick to score anytime, after having scored for Sevilla in three consecutive Champions League matches this season.
Risky but worth a shot: Over 2.5 goals and Both teams Not to Score for 3.00 odds.