Vitoria Setubal vs Famalicao
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Date: 13 July 2020
Kick-off at 19:00 UK/ 20:00 CET
Venue: Estádio do Bonfim (Setúbal).
Vitoria are battling against relegation and come on the back of a horrendous results and they are chasing three big points against the newly promoted, but on-form Famalicao.
Win-less in last 13, Vitoria are come this match on the back of a 5-match losing streak after the narrow 1-0 defeat on Wednesday.
While Aves is already relegated, Setubal are on a hot race with Belenenses SAD, Tondela and Portimonense to avoid ending up as the second team to go down this season.
The team managed by Julio Velázquez are 16th in the 18-team table, have a 3-point cushion over Portimonense, while same number of points as Tondela and 1 less than Belenenses.
Points from the remaining three games will be crucial to Setubal, but wait, Famalicao have good reasons to win here too, they are surprisingly chasing the last Europa League qualification spot.
Not many people have forecasted Famalicao to be in the top half of the table, so did with Sheffield United in the English Premier League.
The Famalicenses are 6th in the table with 49 points and their race-partners are Rio Ave (50pts) and Vitoria Guimaraes (46pts).
Only 1 of these three teams can qualify for Europe, since Portugal is guaranteed 5 places for European competitions and none of these teams can catch Braga sitting at 4th with 56 points.
Famalicao are coming on the back of a well deserved 1-1 draw at home against Benfica and lost just 1 of their last 9 league games since March (4w, 4d).
Vitoria Setubal vs Famalicao Head-to-head
Earlier this season, Famalicao defeated Setubal 3-0 in the team’s first ever Portuguese Primeira Liga head-to-head fixture.
Vitoria Setubal vs Famalicao Prediction
We are in the last two weeks of the campaign and the use of term “must win game for both sides” is imminent in this context.
But we definitely know Famalicao are favorites and the bookies have overpriced them at 2.30 odd.
Why is it so ?
Not just because they have not won in 13 league games or lost 5 on the bounce, but also not won a single home game since January, that is 7 games with 5 losses.
And on top of that, they conceded at least 2 goals in 6 of the last 7 at home.
Now, Famalicao is not a flashy visiting side, but they very capable of squeezing out results and most of the time they achieve this on the back of some resilient defending and patient build-up-play.
And most importantly, the average 2.0 goals per game in the second of away games this season. And almost 50% of their away games this season were level at half-time.
Must be a good one to back HT/FT X/2 for smaller stakes and I will definitely take that for 5.50 odd.
However, the safe option here is draw-no-bet on the visitors for 1.61 odd. Probably, not the best time to risk a lot, given the frequency of surprising results in recent weeks.
Vitoria Setubal vs Famalicao Betting Tips
Safe Bet: Draw-no-bet – Famalicao @ 2/3 (1.67) odd
For Brave Punters: HT/FT – Draw/ Famalicao @ 9/2 (5.50) odd.