Rafael Nadal vs Daniil Medvedev Predictions, Tips & Preview

Australian Open Mens 2022

Rafael Nadal vs Daniil Medvedev 
Australian Open – Final 
Date: Sunday, 30 January 2022 
Venue: Melbourne. 

It all comes down to this. The two best players in the tournament battle it out for one last time for the crown. And frankly, there was no better way to conclude the first grand slam of the year. 

Rafa defeated Matteo Berrettini in a four-setter in the semis, while Medvedev did the same to Stefanos Tsitsipas.  

This match holds a lot of meaning for both the players. For Daniil, a victory would mean that his US Open triumph was no fluke, and that he is here to stay. On the other hand, Nadal is on the verge of history.  

A win this Sunday will see him lift an unprecedented 21st Grand Slam. No other male player will have that honour, and this would only strengthen his argument to become the Goat. 

Expect a cracker of a match-up this weekend. Expect a long, grinding fixture.  

Rafael Nadal vs Daniil Medvedev Head-to-head (h2h) 

  • 100% of encounters have gone till the final set, barring a 2019 encounter, which Rafa won. 
  • The last time these two locked horns, Medvedev won two sets to one. 
  • Nadal holds the overall h2h lead with three wins to one. 
  • These two had locked horns in the Final of US Open 2019. Then Rafa won a five-setter. The scorecard read 7-5, 6-3, 5-7, 4-6, 6-4. 

Rafael Nadal vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Analysis 

It goes without saying that both these players will be absolutely motivated to go after the win, and both these guys have built up quite some momentum as well.  

Nadal as well as Medvedev have shown the ability to deal with nerves during the course of this tournament. Many a times, the players found themselves trailing in the scoreline. But they managed to rally, and found the win every single time. 

It is highly unlikely as well as highly unprecedented for a men’s final to end in straight sets. Nadal is a legend of the game, and one of the absolute best. But age has finally caught up with him. There’s no way he would be able to pack off Daniil without dropping a set.  

And the same goes for Medvedev as well. He might be the best in the game at the moment, but he will have to deal with the years of experience of his Spanish opponent, and most importantly, the crowd. Nadal is a fan favorite here.  

By all means, expect a long match this Sunday – one that’s suited for a Grand Slam Final. Four Sets and 38 Games seem to be the bare minimum that should be anticipated. Moreover, these two players have consistently gone the distance in previous h2h clashes too. 

Key Stats for Betting 

  • Daniil is ranked 2nd in the world, while his challenger is placed 5th by ATP.  
  • Both players are on nine-match winning streaks. 
  • Medvedev was a finalist in Melbourne last year too. 
  • Meanwhile, this is the sixth time that Nadal is appearing in the Final in Melbourne. 

Tips for Rafael Nadal vs Daniil Medvedev 

  • Over 3.5 Sets @ 1.50 (1/2) 
  • Over 37.5 Games @ 1.67 (2/3). 
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