Napoli vs Frosinone;
Italian Serie A, matchday 38,
Date: Saturday, 14-May-2016.
Kick-off: 19:45 GMT,
Venue: Stadio San Paolo, Naples.
Napoli take on Frosinone Calcio in their last fixture of Serie A 2015/16 fixture looking for a win to secure the second placed finish in the final standings.
Maurizio Sarri tutored Napoli put an end to their inconsistent final few weeks after earning back to back wins in their last two matches. The job is not yet finished for Gli Azzurri here as Roma is red hot on their tails at a 2 point gap. A win is a must here to guarantee a second place in the league as Roma have a better head-to-head record against the men in blue.
Frosinone are 18th in the league and they are already relegated to Serie B. They have nothing left to play for, but pride. They haven’t won in any of their last four matches and a result against a desperate Napoli will be a hard ask.
Napoli are coming on the back of consecutive wins after the victories against Torino and Atalanta. They have won 3 and lost 2 from their last 5 league games. However, their home form has been always excellent and they are unbeaten so far in this Serie A season. Napoli have scored 17 goals in their last five home games and are coming on the back of a 5 match winning streak at Stadio San Paolo.
Frosinone are coming without a win in their last 4 league games, with 3 defeats and a draw. They have tasted win only once in their last 9 games. The Canarini are the worst away side in the league after losing in 13 of their 18 games on the road so far this season. However, they have avoided defeats in 2 of the last 3 away games with a win and a draw, but conceded 9 goals during that period.
Napoli: Team News
Maurizio Sarri has no injury concerns ahead of their final Serie game of the season. The line-up is likely to remain the same as in the 2-1 win against Torino and all eyes will be on Gonzalo Higuain, who is topping the scoring charts with 33 goals this season.
Napoli: Predicted Line-up (4-4-2)
Reina – Hysaj, Albiol, Koulibaly, Ghoulam – Allan, Jorginho, Hamsik – Callejon, Insigne, Higuain.
Frosinone: Team News
Danilo Soddimo is out injured, while Raman Chibsah and Mirko Gori are suspended. Daniel Pavlovic is a doubt and once again Roberto Crivello could start his place at left-back.
Frosinone: Predicted Line-up (4-4-2)
Leali- Ciofani, Ajeti, Pryima, Crivello – Carlini, Sammarco, Gucher, Kragl – Tonev, Dionisi.
Napoli vs Frosinone: Head-to-Head Stats
Napoli are unbeaten in the six matches played against Frosinone so far, with 4 wins and 2 draws.
Napoli’s home record against Frosinone is 1 win and 2 draws, while they boast a 100% win record in 3 away matches they played.
Napoli were 5-1 winners in the first leg fixture played on 10th January 2016. Higuain scored 2 goals on that occasions, with the likes of Albiol, Hamsik and Gabbiadini also getting on the score sheet.
Napoli vs Frosinone: Prediction
Napoli are coming here to win and thereby secure the second place in the Serie A standings. They can’t afford to draw here and lose the spot to Roma, so they will be giving their all.
Frosinone haven’t won any of their last four games and are extremely poor on away games.
The already relegated side must be coming to play for pride, but they must be prepared to withstand heavy pressure from the in-form Napoli side.
Napoli are scoring heavily in home games, they average around 3 goals per games in their last 5 at San Paolo. Backing on number of goals for Napoli is a wise bet for this match.
My score prediction is a 3-0 win for Napoli and back them to finish as Serie A runners up this season.
Best Bet: Handicap Napoli (+1)
Recommended Bet: Napoli over 1.5 goals
Big Money Bet: Higuain to score 2 or more goals.