Lyon vs Caen
France – Coupe de France
Date: Wednesday, 27th February 2019
Kick-off at 20.00 UK/ 21.00 CET
Venue: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon).
Another one of the massively mismatched ties for the French Cup. Lyon would have been a major contender for the Ligue 1 title, if not for the presence of PSG, and now they are giving Lille a terrific scare for the runner-up spot. For this next fixture, the team is pitted against a relegation-battling Caen. And as a cherry on top, the underdog is handicapped with the away status.
Lyon has other wells as well to draw inspiration from. When the Champions League Round of 16 fixtures were announced, pundits were hurrying to write the team’s obituaries, as the team had drawn none other than Barcelona. But the first leg, in France, ended in a goalless draw, and as many suggested, the Spanish side was lucky to escape with no conceded goals.
Caen might not be too particular about advancing since their future in the Ligue 1 is already in jeopardy. They will have to deal with their existential crisis first, before going after bonus rounds.
Lyon vs Caen Head-to-head (h2h)
- Five of the last seven wins belong to Lyon.
- Seven of the last nine victories sided with the teams that hosted the tie.
- The last four games at this venue saw home wins.
- Except for a single loss back in 2012, Lyon maintains a 100% unbeaten record at their home.
- Seven of the last ten encounters at this stadium had the hosts scoring two or more goals.
Lyon vs Caen Prediction
Their respective positions in the league are already enough indication as to who will progress. While Lyon is a potent force at the top-most tier, their opposite number is four points below the safety line and is fighting desperately to keep their place in the league.
With the additional home advantage, which Lyon utilized to its utmost extent, in their Champions League tie against Barcelona, morale must be sky-high. To restrict a line-up consisting of Lionel Messi, Ousmane Dembele, Luis Suarez, and Philippe Coutinho to a goalless draw deserve praises of the highest honor. Such a Lyon team will have no difficulty in dealing with a bottom-dweller from Ligue 1.
Moreover, they have recorded five of the last seven h2h wins, and has a 100% unbeaten record at home, if only not for a single loss seven years back. The advantage to the home side is further evident in h2h stats with seven of the last nine wins going to such squads.
And finally, Lyon was unbeaten in 19 of their last 22 home ties, while Caen was winless in 12 of their last 14 road trips.
The hosts deserve a backing for a win to nil, and they will deliver on it. Also, they will not make things complicated and leave things to happen in the final stages. Their attacking nature was sufficiently in display in their last home match, and since the visitors do not boast a backline that consists of Gerard Pique or a keeper like Marc Andre Ter Stegen, they will surely concede in the first half itself.
Lyon vs Caen Betting Tips
Lyon to Win to Nil @ 2.00 (1/1)
Over 0.5 First Half Goals by Lyon @ 1.50 (1/2).