Lille vs Amiens
French Ligue 1
Date: Friday 18th January 2018
Kick off at 19:45 UK/ 20:45 CET
Venue: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Lille).
Lille’s 3-1 win over Caen last weekend means that they stay in 2nd place in Ligue 1 in what has been quite a remarkable season for them. For the club and coach Christophe Gautier it is all about remaining in that position and securing an automatic Champions League qualification which would be massive for the club.
They won’t win the league as they are a huge 13 points behind league leaders PSG who remain unbeaten. However, Lyon and Saint Etienne are very close to Lille and could take that position away from them so they need to keep on winning.
Form has been decent with 10 points gained in their last 15 and they have just one loss in their last five games which came against Toulouse, although they were at home for that in a game that ended in a 2-1 defeat. That was Lille’s first home defeat of the season and they won’t want to lose two back to back.
Amiens predictably lost against PSG in their last game, but they were able to frustrate the champions before losing 3-0. The club are in 17th place and just one point above the bottom three and they come into this game 19 points behind their opponents.
Amiens have not won a game since the beginning of December, but the real problem is that the club have the worst away record in Ligue 1. From a possible 30 points on the road they have won 8.
The good news for them is that recent away form has improved and they have lost just once in their past four outings. They are currently on a 2-game unbeaten run on the road and their last away match ended 1-1 against Bordeaux.
Lille vs Amiens: Head to Head
Earlier this season Lille won this fixture 3-2 at Amiens.
The last time the teams played at Lille was a year ago where Amiens won 1-0.
There is a 66% chance to see over 2.5 goals.
Based on recent games there is a 100% chance to see more goals in the 2nd half of play.
Lille vs Amiens: Prediction
Lille are the better team and on paper should win this game. But their odds are around the 1.50 (1/2) mark and that doesn’t represent great value.
We must consider that Lille lost their last home game and that even though Amiens have been poor this season their away form has really picked up. That is why for the same price we will back Amiens to win but with a 2-goal start.
We will also back more goals in the 2nd half as this has a 100% success rate. This should be a good game but played in freezing conditions on Friday night. Both teams need the points though which should mean that the tempo of the game will be high.
Lille vs Amiens: Bet Tips
Amiens +2 Handicap at 1.50 (1/2)
Highest Scoring Half: 2nd half at 1.91 (10/11).