Italy vs Sweden
FIFA World Cup Qualifying Play-off Second Leg
Date: Monday, 13th November 2017
Kick-off at 19:45 UK/ 20:45 CET
Venue: San Siro, Milan.
A lone goal from Jakob Johansson give Sweden a 1-0 win at Stockholm and set up an interesting finale at Milan on Monday.
Despite the lack of goals, the game was fairly competent with the Italians have the majority of scoring chances and better finishing could have seen them starting the game on level terms. However, having conceded a slender lead, they will be fairly confident of overturning the deficit in front of the home fans.
Sweden’s win against Italy on Friday is their fifth home win on the bounce in World Cup qualifiers with cleans sheets in four. However, their away record is quite poor with wins against lowly ranked Luxembourg and Belarus staying below the losses to France, Netherlands and Bulgaria.
Italy are unbeaten at home in the qualification games this term, 3 wins and 2 draws from five. However, a 1-1 draw against lowly Macedonia indicated complacency can become an issue for this team at times.
Italy Team News
Giampiero Ventura is forced to make changes with Marco Verratti suspended following the accumulation of yellow cards.
Meantime, he is also sweating on the fitness of Leonardo Bonucci and Simone Zaza.
Italy: Predicted Line-up (3-5-2)
Buffon – Bonucci, Chiellini, Barzagli – Darmian, Parolo, Florenzi, De Rossi, Candreva – Gabbiadini, Immobile.
Sweden Team News
Mikael Lustig is available back for selection after serving his suspension.
Jimmy Durmaz is the only player who could be unavailable to start due to fitness issues.
Sweden Predicted Line-up (4-4-2)
Olsen – Augustinsson, Granqvist, Lindelof, Lustig – Forsberg, Ekdal, Johansson, Claesson – Berg, Toivonen.
Italy vs Sweden: Head-to-head
Italy’s 6 match unbeaten run against Sweden which saw 5 wins and 1 draw came to an end with the 1-0 loss at Stockholm on Friday night.
The last four meetings between the two sides recorded less than 3 goals.
Italy’s home record against Sweden is quite strong with the six games seeing 5 wins and 1 loss.
Italy vs Sweden: Predictions
Italians could come good with their recent record is nothing but positive. They are unbeaten in the last 8 at home with clean sheets in 7.
Meanwhile, Sweden’s away record is a bit underwhelming and had trouble against stronger sides. The defeat against Netherlands and Bulgaria towards the end of group stage consolidate this.
However, this tie could go down all the way down to the wire with Sweden holding a slender lead. But, I feel the Azzurri have the upper hand and could book their place in the World Cups with a perfect win on Monday.
Correct Score: 2-0 Italy for 6.50 odd.
Italy vs Sweden: Bet Tips
Italy to win inside 90 minutes – 1.55 odd.
Value is in backing HT/FT – Italy/Italy for 2.30.
To Score any-time: Ciro Immobile at 2.30.
Match odds courtesy of Betfair: Click here to claim a 30$ Free Bet from Betfair.