Inter Milan vs Cagliari: Preview and Prediction

Inter Milan vs Cagliari
2016/17 Italian Serie A.
Date: Sunday, 16 October 2016
Kick-Off: 14:00 UK,
Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Cagliari).

After beating Juventus in the Derby d’Italia last month, things appeared to be looking up for Inter. Then things took a sour turn in the span of just a week. First was a surprise 3-1 loss to Czech champions Viktoria Plzen in Europa League action. Frank de Boer attempted to rotate his squad with one eye on the team’s must-win clash against Roma that was coming up in a few days’ time.

Unfortunately, that gamble backfired, too, as Inter lost that match 2-1. Two losses in two games now have seen the pressure back on his shoulders. The constant over-reliance on Captain Mauro Icardi for goals is also a major source of concern, and fans will be hoping to see players like Ever Banega – who netted his first goal for his new club in the loss to Roma – Antonio Candreva, and Ivan Perisic provide the much-needed support for the Argentinian attacker.

In addition, Croatian international Marcelo Brozovic could see himself reinstated after his tantrum forced him to be excluded from the team for their past few matches. The Nerazzurri have a tough Europa League game against Southampton coming up, and it goes without saying that it’s going to be all or nothing. As such, de Boer will need his side to get up and running by picking up a win here before welcoming their tricky English opponents in a few days’ time.

Fortunately for Inter, Cagliari have been very poor on the road. Not only have they lost their last three home games, but also they have conceded nine during that run. However, they are just one point behind their upcoming opponents, and have scored in all but one of their seven Serie A ties this season.

Furthermore, the Rossoblu are on a two-match winning streak, and overall have won three out of their last four games. Can they take advantage of Inter’s struggles to finally pick up their first away win of the season?

Inter Milan vs Cagliari Head-to-head Statistics

  • Inter have lost just one out of their last 13 home games against Cagliari.
  • Cagliari have lost their past three road games, whilst conceding at least two during that period.
  • The Rossoblu have won just two of their past 20 road games against teams higher than them in the table (four draws, 14 losses).
  • The Nerazzurri have won 13, drawn four, and lost three out of their last 20 home matches against teams ranked lower than them in the table.
  • All in all, Inter are undefeated in their last six home games.

Inter Milan vs Cagliari: Prediction

The Nerazzurri will be desperate to avoid a third straight loss across all competitions – especially with their must-win tie against Southampton coming up. Currently in ninth, a bad result here would see them drop into the bottom half of the table, and the pressure on de Boer to increase exponentially. Cagliari, despite their bad away form, did beat Inter at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza 4-1 on September 28, 2014, and despite losing the reverse fixture, gave them a hard time in a 2-1 loss. The Rossoblu, as noted before, are also on a two match winning streak, and will certainly arrive in Italy’s fashion capital full of confidence.

Given that there have been over 2.5 goals scored in the last three meetings between Inter and Cagliari, plus the Rossoblu have conceded least twice in their three road fixtures, expect this one to be a high-scoring affair with goals on either end. All in all, Inter’s struggles coupled with Cagliari’s confidence could result in a draw, and one producing over 2.5 goals at that.

Inter Milan vs Cagliari: Betting tips

  • Draw at 15/4 (4.75)
  • Over 2.5 goals at 4/7 (1.57).

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