Independiente vs River Plate Prediction & Match Preview

Independiente vs River Plate
Argentina – Superliga
Date: Sunday, 19 January 2020
Kick-off at 22:10 UK/ 23:10 CET
Venue: Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda).

With their impeccable record on the road, River Plate are expected to perform well this Sunday. However, a clean sheet might be out of the question, taking into account how the teams at home have dominated h2h clashes.

Independiente vs River Plate Head-to-head (h2h)

  • River Plate won the last two games.
  • The teams on the road have scored a total of one goal from the previous six games combined.
  • Nine of the former ten wins went to the squads that hosted the game.
  • It’s been seven years since River Plate have won at this venue.

Independiente vs River Plate Prediction

Independiente were at home the last match-day, and had twice taken the lead over Newell’s Old Boys. But both times they conceded the equalizing goal, and towards the end of the game, conceded the winner too.

In the meantime, River Plate were beaten at home by San Lorenzo in their latest league fixture by an early goal. It remained the sole goal in the game. However the double-penalty miss, and the double red card by River Plate probably contributed hugely to the loss.

Independiente are on the back foot this Sunday, considering their current form. They have lost their last two games, and were winless in seven of their former nine fixtures. At home, they had lost four of their previous five match-ups, and have failed to keep a clean sheet since August.

On the other hand, River Plate were unbeaten in 25 of their last 31 overall match-ups, and have not lost a single league fixture this season on the road. In fact, their sole two away losses this campaign had come in the Libertadores, against current champions, Flamengo, and arch-rivals, Boca Juniors.

Finally, River Plate are just a single point and single spot below a Libertadores spot, while their counterparts are five spots below even a Sudamericana entry.

Moreover, River Plate have recorded nine of the previous thirteen h2h wins, and have won the last two such clashes as well. 

Considering these observations, it’s deduced that the top-performing River Plate should post the three points on the board this Sunday.

However, teams at home have performed well in h2h clashes over the years. In fact, nine of the previous eleven h2h encounters were won by teams at home. 

Also, Independiente have scored two or more goals in 11 of their last 16 home appearances, while River Plate have conceded thrice or more in their last three matches on the road.

Furthermore, only once have River Plate kept a clean sheet in six of their prior seven away games, and considering all these factors, it’s evident that the fixture is going to be tightly competitive. By all means, this is a perfect game to back the BTTS bet. 

Independiente vs River Plate Betting Tips

  • Draw No Bet: River Plate @ 1.50 (1/2)
  • Both Teams to Score @ 1.83 (5/6).