Hull City have one foot in the finals of the English Championship Play-off final when they face Derby County at the KCOM Stadium on Tuesday.
Abel Hernandez, Moses Odubajo and Andy Robertson were on the score sheet for Hull in an impressive 3-0 away victory in the first leg at iPro Stadium on Saturday afternoon. Derby did a double against Hull City in this regular Championship season have a massive deficit to overcome in the away leg. The Rams were the only team who had beaten Hull at their home ground this season. But any win won’t do it for them, they must win big and it is almost a mission impossible.
Hull City finished the regular season with 2 wins and a draw, and their form in the last four competitive fixtures read W-W-L-W. They are also unbeaten in 7 of their last 8 matches. Eight of their last 10 matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
Hull has a strong home record this season, their only defeat this season came against Tuesday’s opponent Derby by 2-0 on 27 November 2015. They have won 4 of their last 5 home matches, also scored 2 or more goals in each of them.
Derby finished the season without a win in their last three matches in regular season and together with the defeat in the first leg, their form from last four is L-L-D-D. They were on a 4 match winning run prior to this.
Derby are unbeaten in their last three away games, but they were on a 4 match winless run prior to that. They conceded 8 goals in their last 5 away games and kept a clean sheet only once in their last 13.
Hull City: Team News
Steve Bruce is not expected to make any changes to the line-up that started in the first leg, until unless a late fitness issue occurs.
While David Meyler and Nick Powell are already sidelined through respective injuries.
Hull City: Predicted Line-up (4-4-2)
McGregor – Odubajo, Dawson, Davies, Robertson – Elmohamady, Livermore, Huddlestone, Snodgrass – Diame, Hernandez.
Derby: Team News
Their key midfielder George Thorne remains out with a broken leg, suffered in the 1-0 defeat against Ipswich Town in the final match day of the regular season.
Craig Forsyth is a long-term absentee and wont feature even if Derby make it to the finals.
Derby: Predicted Line-up (4-3-3)
Carson – Christie, Keogh, Shackell, Olsson – Johnson, Bryson, Hughes – Ince, Martin, Russel.
Hull City vs Derby: Head-to-Head
Hull City are leading the head-to-head record after 13 matches against Derby, with 7 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses.
Prior to the first leg defeat, Derby had won two matches against Hull by keeping clean sheets.
The 4-0 defeat at Derby on April 5th 2016 is the heaviest defeat of Hull City in the current Championship season.
Hull City’s home record against Derby County in 6 matches so far is 3 wins and 3 defeats.
Hull City vs Derby: Prediction
There is little to separate between the sides looking at the head-to-head record, but the form and momentum is on Hull’s side. So they remains heavy favourites to advance to the finals and also to win promotion to Premier League. A 3-0 lead is a huge lead and I can’t see Derby overturning it on Tuesday.
In the first leg’s prediction, we recommended a win for Hull and over 2.5 goals and we believe this is likely to be repeated. Derby will be on the attack from the word go, so there is good chance that they concede one on the counter. So ‘both teams to score’ is a high possibility here.
I expect the match to finish 2-1 in favour of the hosts.
Best Bet: Hull City to win
Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 goals / Both teams to score.