Brighton & Hove Albion vs AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
Date: 28 December 2019, Saturday.
Kick-off at 12:30 UK/ 13:30 Central European Time
Venue: Amex Stadium (Brighton).
Three points are extremely valuable for both Brighton and Bournemouth as they hope to end calendar year 2019 on a positive note.
Brighton vs Bournemouth Match Preview
Despite putting up a good fight at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Boxing day and taking an early lead, Brighton were unable to hold back Mourinho’s men and eventually ended up surrendering all points in the 1-2 loss.
The defeat put Graham Potter’s men win 1 win from the last 8 Premier League games (2D, 5L). Also, they come to Saturday’s clash on the back of a 4-match win-less run.
Home form has been on the moderate end with the 9 matches so far yielding 3 wins, draws and defeats each. Scoring goals is a main problem for the Seagulls, and they average just 1.3 goals per game on home turf. Couple this with their lack of
Bournemouth have been impressive in previous seasons, but they have failed to strung results together in the first half of 2019/20.
Against Arsenal on Boxing day, the Cherries come out of the blocks and put a strong performance yet ended up sharing the spoils after conceding a sloppy goal in the second half.
The Cherries have now won just 1 of their last 8 league games (1D, 6L), the only positive during the period is a surprise 1-0 away win against Chelsea at the Stamford Bridge.
Just like their Saturday’s hosts, Eddie Howe’s men have also struggled for goals on the road, they average less than a goal per game.
Brighton vs Bournemouth Head-to-head stats (h2h)
Bournemouth are unbeaten in the four Premier League meetings (3W, 1D) since Brighton earned promotion in 2017. This includes a 5-0 win in the same fixture last season.
It is also worth to note that Eddie Howe’s men scored at least 2 goals in each of those 4 h2h meetings.
The Cherries also boast of a record of netting in 7 consecutive visits to the Amex Stadium since 2004.
Brighton vs Bournemouth Prediction
Despite the recent shortcomings, Brighton come into this game on confidence after putting strong performance in the recent defeat at Tottenham.
However, Bournemouth have enjoyed good results at this stadium, which makes leaves some doubts for punters.
Yet, just 3 defeats from 9 home games is good stat for a team like Brighton and I do consider them as favorites here. Bournemouth, even with a 1-1 draw with Arsenal, haven’t done enough on the road off-late.
And when we couple this with sloppy defending of Bournemouth, odds of 1.85 on home win is a price worth backing, even though this comes with a risk.
Goals will be at a premium here, even though the previous head-to-head show otherwise. However, we have good reasons to back over 2.5 goals or btts; since they have failed to close out games, especially came under immense pressure in final half hour of clock.
Brighton vs Bournemouth Betting Tips
FT – Brighton to win @ 6/7 (1.85).
Both teams to Score @ 4/5 (1.80)
Over 1.5 second half goals @ 11/10 (2.10)
Correct Score: 2-1 Brighton @ 17/2 (9.50).