The Basque teams Alaves and Athletic Bilbao are separated by 1 point in the bottom half of the LaLiga table as they lock horns at the Estadio Mendizorrotza on Saturday evening.
Deportivo Alaves defeated Malaga 3-0 in the last round to pick their 4th win in 6 games. However, the two defeats in the period are both at home, 0-1 to Atletico Madrid and 1-2 to Girona. Yet, the team had their best run of the season at home when they picked up 7 wins and a draw in an 8 match unbeaten streak at home between December and March.
Therefore, Alaves have the upper hand according to our analysts Vito Moretti and Oscar Suarez against a team like Bilbao who haven’t had a terrible time on the road lately; something that I agree as well.
Bilbao defeated Betis 2-0 at home last week to make some amends for the derby loss to Sociedad in the previous week. That was also their first win after a barren run of four matches that saw a draw and three defeats.
The focus here is Bilbao’s poor away form and nothing come together for them since January. They bagged a surprise win at Villarreal in April, but that remains to be their only away win in 9 games; drew 3 and lost 5. Moreover, they are the third worst defense on the road this season.
Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao: Head-to-head
Bilbao had the better of Alaves in the head-to-head competitive meetings since 1999. They bagged 10 wins from 15 games along with 2 draws while losing twice.
The last five h2h meetings between Alaves and Bilbao recorded under 3 goals. Both teams haven’t scored in any of those.
Both Alaves wins since 1999 happened at their home turf, but happened in the space of 7 games where Bilbao picked 4 wins and a draw.
Bilbao won 2-0 in the LaLiga clash earlier this season; Alaves won 1-0 in the battle at Mendizorrotza last season.
Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction
The merit of the form goes of Alaves as they won 4 of the last 6. Bilbao are a poor away side, but they have found some scoring form lately and netted 5 times in the last 3 road trips. Since this is a derby played with some great spirit and determination, we can back both teams to score with some confidence.
Now, their recent history show that stalemates rarely happen when these two meet and therefore, make good use of the combo bets to squeeze out maximum profit from our investment.