Cagliari vs Napoli: Preview and Prediction

Cagliari vs Napoli: Preview, Predictions and Betting Tips-11th December-2016

Cagliari vs Napoli
2016/17 Italian Serie A.
Date: Sunday, 12 December 2016
Kick-Off: 11:30 UK,
Venue: Stadio Stadio Sant’Elia (Cagliari).

Napoli will look to take advantage of Cagliari’s dodgy backline as the Partenopei travel to take on the Sardinian side on Sunday afternoon.

After a rough past few rounds, Napoli appear to be slowly getting back on track. They crushed Inter 3-0 to earn a much needed win, and thanks to both Lazio and Atalanta losing, have now moved up into fourth spot. In addition, they successfully saw off Portuguese outfit Benfica to clinch top spot in their Champions League quartet, and now will be eagerly awaiting their next opponent in Monday’s round of 16 draw.

Are they out of the Scudetto race, though? It’s still tough to tell. Currently, they find themselves a whopping eight points behind Juventus heading into this round. A lot can happen between now and May. Surely, they will be focusing first on trying to close the gap between themselves and AC Milan and Roma, both of whom are four points ahead and occupy the last two Champions League berths.

Meanwhile, Cagliari will be kicking themselves after failing to pick up all three points against Pescara. Unfortunately, their leaky defense cost them two points in that game. The Rossoblu certainly have no problems with scoring, but they certainly have a huge problem with keeping clean sheets. In that match, veteran – and nomadic – striker Marco Borriello put them ahead midway in the first half.

Yet, their poor defense cost them yet again as Pescara snatched a late goal – and a point. Cagliari are still relatively comfortably afloat but fans definitely will be concerned with the team’s tendency to drop points here and there due to an inability to shut opponents out.

Cagliari vs Napoli: Head-to-head statistics

  • Cagliari has a record of W4 D5 L11 in their past 20 home games against teams ranked above them in the table.
  • The Rossoblu have failed to win their last six meetings against Napoli (D3 L3).
  • Cagliari’s last win versus Napoli was in August 2009 (2-0).
  • Napoli has a record of W11 D4 L5 in their past 20 away games against teams ranked below them in the table.
  • Overall, Napoli are undefeated in their last 12 game versus Cagliari across all competitions.
  • The Rossoblu have netted at least two goals in their last eight home league games.
  • There have been over 2.5 goals in Napoli’s last three road games, and in Cagliari’s last eight home matches.

Cagliari vs Napoli: Prediction

Cagliari now will likely face a tricky task to contain a Napoli side who are starting to roar to life. Yet, although the Rossoblu have conceded in 11 straight games, their attack is pretty strong. In fact, they have scored only four fewer goals than the Partenopei. However, as noted, they have the worst defense in the division and that will cost them dearly here.

Given that there have been over 2.5 goals in eight of their last home games – and three of Napoli’s last road fixtures – expect goals from both ends here. The visitors, nonetheless, are a gulf in class above their hosts and should be able to depart with all three points in hand.

Cagliari vs Napoli: Betting tips

Over 2.5 goals at 4/7 (1.57)
Napoli (WIN) & both teams to score (YES) at 15/8 (2.88).

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I'm currently studying sports management and have been a freelance writer for about four years. Main areas of expertise are Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, and the Premier League; however I have also written about MLS and La Liga.
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